Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Fuck this superdelegate crap!

I will be pissed if Obama gets the popular vote but loses because of the superdelegates.

So pissed.

Also:


edit: To elaborate, Obama has come out of Super Tuesday only behind by 8 pledged delegates. CNN has an interesting way of doing things in that they're also showing superdelegates, which makes the gap look much bigger than it is. It's important to note that firstly, that the superdelegates are unpledged, they can change their vote at any time and secondly, most of the superdelegates have not declared their decision one way or another. However, by the virtue of the fact that Clinton's lead looks larger than it really is, several things may happen: Obama may lose momentum as he appears unelectable (unlikely because his campaign contributions have tripled Clinton's recently), his supporters may be more inspired to go out while Clinton's may wane as the margin looks comfortable, or maybe nothing because the public is actually informed about this (haHA). Either way, if Obama wins the popular vote, the superdelegates (including ones that currently support Clinton) will feel pressure to conform, because never before have they swung the vote against the popular candidate (mainly because never have they actually mattered as much as they do now). On the other hand, if Obama doesn't take the popular vote, then I give it a slim chance that he'll win because the superdelegates are mostly in Clinton's demographic.

double edit: If the democratic primaries were WWI, then Missouri would be Verdun. That is, not a most strategically important locale but important for morale, because they almost always predict the outcome.

triple edit:

Meh, I'd take it with a grain of salt though. Kucinich got so high because I slightly increased the importance of gay marriage and reduced the importance of global warming. Interestingly enough, I have stated before one of the things I like about Kucinich is that he supports gay marriage unconditionally unlike any of the other candidates.
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