Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Primaries = Tie

So, it's almost certain that the superdelegates are going to play a key role in deciding the democratic nominee, because at this point it's unlikely for either candidate to pull through with entirely pledged delegates.

Obama has a lot of momentum, winning every state since Super Tuesday while Clinton has been forced into a defensive strategy (attempting to entrench herself within Texas and Ohio). Still, unless Obama manages wins by large margins in many of the remaining states (which is possible), he won't have the 2025 delegates needed to win.

That's not to say that winning the popular vote is not important. Many supers have already expressed displeasure at the prospect of turning the nomination against the popular vote. Also, most of the supers are in elected offices and they can expect tremendous backlash from the public if they do go against the public.

On a seperate note, as the primaries draw closer to the end, I'm figure I'm going to need to find something else to analyze. I'm thinking about the weather, I think there's potential in predicting snowstorms.

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